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Venezuela · exposure to the region
What reaches Venezuela, and what it sends
Coming in · change in the odds of oil restart stalls by 2030 (baseline 27.5%), regional model with links on
Oil falls 40%
oil revenue
+0.6 ± 0.2
China slows
oil and exports
no clear change
Argentina defaults
lenders, +0.098 index
no clear change
Brazil quietly defaults
lenders, +0.19 index
no clear change
Copper falls 35%
no link
no clear change
US recession
no link
no clear change
Global sell-off
borrowing cost +2.00 index
no clear change
Going out
Nothing through lenders
Its defaulted bonds have no market price, so the regional investor does not pass anything on.
Currency moves with
No one: not linked
Shares the oil price with
Mexico · Colombia · Argentina